Imperial College London

Strategic Engineering Laboratory

How do we design future-generation engineering systems that are more sustainable and resilient in the face of uncertainty and risk?

At the Strategic Engineering Lab (SEL) we tackle the design, deployment, and operation of next-generation systems — for defence, energy, resource extraction, transportation, and space exploration — that run for decades and demand investments of £100 million or more.

0204060GATE 1GATE 2GATE 3051015202530YEARS FROM DECISIONCUMULATIVE VALUETERMINAL VALUE
Flexible designFixed baseline38 other futuresIllustrative
Approach

Designing for flexibility under deep uncertainty

With threats stemming from climate change, resource scarcity, and geopolitical instability, long-lived systems can become highly vulnerable in the decades to come. We need to change the way we design systems to be ready for these challenges.

Our work exploits the concept of flexibility — enabling systems to adapt, reconfigure, and evolve so they deliver strong economic performance alongside better sustainability and resilience over the long term. We build tools to model uncertainty, analyse risk, support creativity, optimise operations, and inform the decisions of policymakers and business leaders.

Our research develops and evaluates new data-driven methods, digital processes, and computational algorithms to help designers create the systems of tomorrow, and to generate better value for society. Our goal is to develop the tools and techniques for future-generation engineers, so they are ready to tackle the challenges of designing complex engineered systems.

Dr Michel-Alexandre CardinDirector, SEL
Method

Every project follows the same seven-step method for engineering under uncertainty, from framing the decision through to balancing risk and reward.

Explore our method
Sectors we work across
  • Aerospace & Space
  • Energy
  • Resource Extraction
  • Transportation
  • Defence

Projects

Our work spans aerospace and space, energy, resource extraction, and transportation. We collaborate with institutions and companies around the world to develop and apply genuinely impactful system-design tools and processes.

All projects
Aerospace & Space
01

Space Resources Value-Chain Business Modelling

A reference financial and business modelling capability for the lunar In-Situ Resource Utilisation (ISRU) value-chain, developed with the European Space Agency.

View programme
Aerospace & Space
02

ISRU Plant Design and Deployment Strategy Under Uncertainty

Optimising the design of In-Situ Resource Utilisation (ISRU) plants and their deployment strategies for the lunar environment under uncertain parameters.

View programme
Energy
03

Immersive Technologies to Support the Design and Policymaking for Complex Energy Systems Operating under Uncertainty

Serious games as controlled laboratories for studying — and improving — how planners make long-term electricity-system investment decisions under deep uncertainty.

View programme
Energy
04

Strategic Portfolio Design of Carbon Capture and Reuse Technologies

Data-driven decision rules for managing portfolios of decarbonisation technologies, applied to carbon capture and reuse.

View programme
Transportation
05

Physics-Aware, Operation-Aware Reinforcement Learning for Fuel-Saving Airline Fuel Loading Strategy

A reinforcement learning framework for airline fuel loading that models fuel carried against fuel consumed to cut excess contingency fuel and emissions without compromising safety.

View programme
Transportation
06

Strategic Modelling and Design of Value Chain Systems under Uncertainty

Modelling and simulation of how value chain systems form and stay viable under uncertainty when decisions are spread across several actors, with initial applications in the automotive sector.

View programme
ESA programme partners
Related

Work with us

For academic details or collaboration enquiries, get in touch with the lab director.

m.cardin@imperial.ac.uk